Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.