Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
38.46% (![]() | 25.4% (![]() | 36.13% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% (![]() | 47.56% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% (![]() | 69.77% (![]() |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.65% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.25% (![]() | 58.75% (![]() |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.38% (![]() | 25.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% (![]() | 60.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Oldham Athletic | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 8.81% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 12% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.5% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 3.47% Total : 36.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 44 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 52 | 96 |
2 | York City | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 91 | 42 | 49 | 90 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 79 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 70 |
5 | Rochdale | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 67 |
7 | Gateshead | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 75 | 66 | 9 | 66 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 63 |
10 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 60 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 |
12 | Eastleigh | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 58 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 57 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 56 |
15 | Woking | 44 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 |
16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 54 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 53 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 52 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 50 |
21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 46 |
23 | Fylde | 44 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 40 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 94 | -56 | 22 |
> National League Full Table |