Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
45.16% (![]() | 23.73% (![]() | 31.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.82% (![]() | 41.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.42% (![]() | 63.57% (![]() |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% (![]() | 18.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.28% (![]() | 49.72% (![]() |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% (![]() | 25.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% (![]() | 60.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.18% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 3.53% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 10.88% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 7.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 43 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 93 |
2 | York City | 43 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 89 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 76 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 69 |
5 | Rochdale | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 67 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 67 |
7 | Gateshead | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 73 | 63 | 10 | 66 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 43 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 61 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 60 |
10 | Tamworth | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 60 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 56 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 56 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 56 |
14 | Eastleigh | 43 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 55 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 54 |
16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 54 |
17 | Woking | 43 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 53 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 52 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 52 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 43 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 52 | 71 | -19 | 49 |
21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 47 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 45 |
23 | Fylde | 43 | 11 | 6 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 39 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 43 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 38 | 90 | -52 | 22 |
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