
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Yeovil Town | 
| 38.57% (  -0.25) | 26.34% (  -0.04) | 35.09% (  0.3) | 
| Both teams to score 52.99% (  0.19) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.3% (  0.22) | 51.7% (  -0.22) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.52% (  0.19) | 73.47% (  -0.19) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.81% (  -0.04) | 26.18% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.73% (  -0.05) | 61.27% (  0.05) | 
| Yeovil Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.79% (  0.29) | 28.21% (  -0.29) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.09% (  0.36) | 63.9% (  -0.37) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| York City | Draw | Yeovil Town | 
| 1-0 @ 9.9% (  -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.39% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.63% (  -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.75% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.96% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.37% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.99% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 12.52% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.39% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.31% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 1% (  0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.35% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.93% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 5.91% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 3.34% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 2.5% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 2.24% (  0.03) 1-4 @ 1.06% (  0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.09% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 | 
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 | 
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 62 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 56 | 
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 55 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 | 
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 | 
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 47 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 | 
| 14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 | 
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 | 
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 43 | 
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 42 | 
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 | 
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 37 | 
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 36 | 
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 | 
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 34 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 | 
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