

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 23.64% ( | 24.49% ( | 51.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.19% ( | 49.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( | 71.81% ( |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( | 35.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.55% ( | 72.45% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( | 19.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.14% ( | 50.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 2-1 @ 6% ( 2-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 3-0 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 23.64% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0-2 @ 9.33% ( 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0-3 @ 5.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 51.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 |
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 56 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 |
| 15 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 43 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 42 |
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 37 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 36 |
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 |
| 22 | Fylde | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 34 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 |
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