Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 47.77% ( | 24.39% ( | 27.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( | 46.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( | 68.35% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.64% ( | 19.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.85% ( | 51.15% ( |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( | 30.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.6% ( | 66.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 27.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 |
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 56 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 46 |
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 |
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 |
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 |
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 |
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 |
| 21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 37 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Fylde | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 70 | -27 | 36 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 |
| > National League Full Table | |||||||||
