Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Rochdale |
36.17% (![]() | 26.47% (![]() | 37.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.64% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.8% (![]() | 52.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.09% (![]() | 73.9% (![]() |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.21% (![]() | 27.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.62% (![]() | 63.37% (![]() |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% (![]() | 27.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.51% (![]() | 62.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 9.64% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.17% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.83% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 39 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 81 | 32 | 49 | 88 |
2 | York City | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 70 | 37 | 33 | 74 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 72 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 66 |
5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 62 |
6 | Gateshead | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Rochdale | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 57 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 56 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Tamworth | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 54 |
11 | Eastleigh | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 53 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 51 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
15 | Braintree TownBraintree | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 48 |
16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 47 |
17 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 47 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 |
19 | Woking | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 41 |
20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
21 | Fylde | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 39 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 44 | 70 | -26 | 38 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 37 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 83 | -53 | 18 |
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