Cerro Largo logo
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Cerro Largo
1 - 3
U. Catolica

Anasco (90+4')
Assis (27'), Bertochi (35'), Correa (60'), Anasco (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Palacios (20'), Diaz (31', 87')
Alejandro Romero Padilla (40'), Londono (43')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cerro Largo and Universidad Catolica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-1 Plaza Colonia
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: U. Catolica 3-1 Defensa
Friday, April 25 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawUniversidad Catolica
30.85% (0.047000000000001 0.05)27.56% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)41.6% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.13% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.62% (0.139 0.14)57.38% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8% (0.112 0.11)78.2% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.108 0.11)33.91% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.115 0.11)70.58% (-0.11 -0.11)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.061000000000007 0.06)27.17% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (0.078000000000003 0.08)62.58% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 30.85%
    Universidad Catolica 41.59%
    Draw 27.55%
Cerro LargoDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.02% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 30.85%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.21% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 12% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.59%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2025 3am
Group Stage
U. Catolica
3-1
Cerro Largo
Londono (18'), Diaz (45+1', 90+4')
Cacciabue (7'), Diaz (56'), Palacios (90+3')
Ferrares (75')
Gianoli (51'), Ferrares (59'), Correa (62')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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