Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 28.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.