Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.