

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Dumbarton has a probability of 32.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Dumbarton win is 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.89%).
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 41.85% ( | 25.19% ( | 32.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.84% ( | 47.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( | 69.39% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( | 22.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44% ( | 56% ( |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( | 27.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.23% ( | 62.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
