Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicao3 - 2Vizela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Famalicao
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Casa Pia
Sunday, March 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Famalicao 1-0 Vizela
Famalicao's home advantage and recent win bode well against struggling Vizela. However, their inconsistency and Vizela's fight for survival could make it close. We expect a slender win for Famalicao in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 22.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
51.96% ( -0.89) | 25.7% ( 0.32) | 22.33% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
