Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Arouca
Saturday, April 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Estoril
Tuesday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Tuesday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
36
We said: Arouca 2-2 Casa Pia
Arouca and Casa Pia have struggled to get going at the tail end of the season and will both set out in search of a morale-boosting result as they look to close out the season strong. Home advantage gives Arouca a slight upper hand but we predict that Os Gansos will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Casa Pia |
45.26% ( -0.15) | 26.31% ( 0.09) | 28.43% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
