Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 29.87% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).