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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Crewe
2 - 3
Cheltenham

Hemmings (45' pen.), Agius (90+5')
Williams (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miller (22'), Thomas (78'), Dulson (86')
Bennett (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Cheltenham Town

It is difficult to look past the fact the visitors have been frequently beaten in the past weeks without managing to score. Crewe Alexandra should be considered slight favourites, but their struggles in the final third makes it hard to see them producing many chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawCheltenham Town
48.3% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 26.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.56% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (0.047999999999995 0.05)55.2% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.039999999999999 0.04)76.43% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)22.88% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.052 0.05)56.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.03% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18% (0.012 0.01)73.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 48.29%
    Cheltenham Town 25.46%
    Draw 26.24%
Crewe AlexandraDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.46%

How you voted: Crewe vs Cheltenham

Crewe Alexandra
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Cheltenham Town
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Cheltenham
2-1
Crewe
Colwill (70', 83')
Bowman (90+3')
Lankester (56')
Holicek (34'), Connolly (51'), Tracey (68'), Williams (74')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
1-2
Crewe
Etete (48')
Boyle (31'), Wright (61')
Long (18'), Porter (83')
Griffiths (26'), Johnson (64')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Crewe
1-1
Cheltenham
Mandron (28')
Ramsay (65')
Williams (40')
Williams (45+1')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Second Round
Cheltenham
2-1
Crewe
Azaz (2'), Lloyd (94')
Freestone (30'), May (80')
Porter (63')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crewe
1-0
Cheltenham
Ng (69')

Long (78'), Greaves (84'), May (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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