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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Crewe
2 - 3
Cheltenham

Hemmings (45' pen.), Agius (90+5')
Williams (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Miller (22'), Thomas (78'), Dulson (86')
Bennett (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Doncaster
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Cheltenham Town

It is difficult to look past the fact the visitors have been frequently beaten in the past weeks without managing to score. Crewe Alexandra should be considered slight favourites, but their struggles in the final third makes it hard to see them producing many chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawCheltenham Town
48.3% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 26.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.56% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.81% (0.047999999999995 0.05)55.2% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (0.039999999999999 0.04)76.43% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)22.88% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (0.052 0.05)56.63% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.03% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18% (0.012 0.01)73.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 48.29%
    Cheltenham Town 25.46%
    Draw 26.24%
Crewe AlexandraDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.46%

How you voted: Crewe vs Cheltenham

Crewe Alexandra
88.9%
Draw
7.4%
Cheltenham Town
3.7%
27
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Cheltenham
2-1
Crewe
Colwill (70', 83')
Bowman (90+3')
Lankester (56')
Holicek (34'), Connolly (51'), Tracey (68'), Williams (74')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
1-2
Crewe
Etete (48')
Boyle (31'), Wright (61')
Long (18'), Porter (83')
Griffiths (26'), Johnson (64')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Crewe
1-1
Cheltenham
Mandron (28')
Ramsay (65')
Williams (40')
Williams (45+1')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Second Round
Cheltenham
2-1
Crewe
Azaz (2'), Lloyd (94')
Freestone (30'), May (80')
Porter (63')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crewe
1-0
Cheltenham
Ng (69')

Long (78'), Greaves (84'), May (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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