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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Burton Albion

Birmingham
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Stansfield (26' pen.), Crocombe (56' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Godwin-Malife (45+1'), Crocombe (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 3-0 Burton Albion

With a sold-out St Andrew's crowd expecting a routine win, Birmingham should be more than capable of breezing past the attentions of Burton. The Brewers are likely to enjoy just a slither of the ball in the Second City and could be overwhelmed by the occasion as they battle the title favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 10.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBurton Albion
73.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 16.43% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 10.29% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.35% (0.577 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.69% (0.563 0.56)38.31% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (0.596 0.6)60.59% (-0.598 -0.6)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.95% (0.13200000000001 0.13)9.05% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.21% (0.31999999999999 0.32)30.79% (-0.322 -0.32)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26% (0.554 0.55)45.74% (-0.555 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48% (0.429 0.43)81.52% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 73.27%
    Burton Albion 10.29%
    Draw 16.43%
Birmingham CityDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-0 @ 9.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.49% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.16% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.05 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 73.27%
1-1 @ 7.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16.43%
0-1 @ 3.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.04% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.29%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Burton Albion

Birmingham City
87.1%
Draw
6.5%
Burton Albion
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 2pm
Club Friendlies
Burton Albion
1-2
Birmingham
Hamer (74')
Hall (37'), Cosgrove (87')
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Jan 6, 2018 3pm
Third Round
Birmingham
1-0
Burton Albion
Gallagher (56')
Kieftenbeld (37'), Grounds (67'), Davis (90')

Brayford (65'), Turner (75'), Sordell (83')
Aug 18, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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