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Stevenage
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Birmingham logo

Stevenage
0 - 1
Birmingham


Thompson (59'), Piergianni (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (83')
Iwata (78'), Stansfield (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Stevenage and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Rotherham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-3 Birmingham City

Given the recent form of both sides and their respective goals record in recent times, this match is likely to be a high-scoring one. The hosts have scored nine in four games across all competitions, while the visitors have recorded eight in their last five matches. However, considering the quality of the away side, we reckon Birmingham will claim a 3-2 win on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
StevenageDrawBirmingham City
26.52% (0.16 0.16) 26.58% (-0.299 -0.3) 46.91% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.49% (0.967 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.27% (1.189 1.19)55.73% (-1.192 -1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (0.959 0.96)76.87% (-0.962 -0.96)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59% (0.785 0.79)36.41% (-0.787 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.8% (0.785 0.79)73.2% (-0.788 -0.79)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (0.58499999999999 0.58)23.75% (-0.589 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (0.834 0.83)57.9% (-0.837 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 26.52%
    Birmingham City 46.9%
    Draw 26.58%
StevenageDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-1 @ 6.35% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.079 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 26.52%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.406 -0.41)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 12.43% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.115 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.067 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.9%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Birmingham

Stevenage
20.5%
Draw
13.6%
Birmingham City
65.9%
44
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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