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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Rotherham logo

Birmingham
2 - 1
Rotherham

Stansfield (54', 81' pen.)
May (86'), Hanley (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nombe (44')
Odofin (40'), Humphreys (73'), Phillips (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Rotherham United

Keeping a clean sheet in each of their last five home matches in League One, Birmingham should be supremely confident of repeating the trick against a Rotherham outfit who are poor travellers. The Millers squeezed past the attentions of strugglers Cambridge earlier in the week, although we believe that they will have no such fortune against the title favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 14.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
64.4% (0.015999999999991 0.02) 21.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 14.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.022000000000006 0.02)51.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.018999999999998 0.02)73.34% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (0.013000000000005 0.01)15.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.9% (0.021999999999998 0.02)44.1% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.15% (0.0040000000000049 0)47.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)83.12% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 64.39%
    Rotherham United 14.02%
    Draw 21.57%
Birmingham CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.76%
2-0 @ 12.89%
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 64.39%
1-1 @ 10.14%
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.99% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 14.02%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Rotherham

Birmingham City
82.1%
Draw
7.1%
Rotherham United
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Rotherham
0-2
Birmingham

Tiehi (26'), Hungbo (77'), Raggett (84')
Iwata (14'), Stansfield (22')
Iwata (13'), Davies (14'), Cochrane (75')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Rotherham
0-0
Birmingham
Hugill (51'), Humphreys (52'), Eaves (84'), Peltier (87')
Anderson (63'), Stansfield (76')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Birmingham
0-0
Rotherham
James (62')
Lindsay (61'), Peltier (71'), Bramall (86')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Birmingham
2-0
Rotherham
Khadra (5'), Long (35')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Rotherham
2-0
Birmingham
Wood (28', 71')
Rathbone (41')

Deeney (41'), James (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham33237355223376
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe341910560322867
3Wrexham34198749282165
4Stockport CountyStockport351710852341861
5Charlton AthleticCharlton34178946311559
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield351771147321558
7Bolton WanderersBolton34176115550557
8Reading34159104844454
9Leyton Orient351651450351553
10Barnsley35157135048252
11Stevenage34138133234-247
12Lincoln CityLincoln351210134844446
13Blackpool34101594947245
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham34128143940-144
15Wigan AthleticWigan341010143134-340
16Mansfield TownMansfield34117164047-740
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough34108165159-838
18Northampton TownNorthampton35911153452-1838
19Exeter CityExeter33107163550-1537
20Bristol Rovers34106183553-1836
21Burton Albion35712163551-1633
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge3478193457-2329
23Crawley TownCrawley3478193764-2729
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3577213458-2428


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