MX23RW : Friday, May 16 02:11:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Rotherham logo
League One | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Bolton logo

Rotherham
3 - 1
Bolton

Wilks (34' pen.), James (45+6'), Nombe (75')
Humphreys (15'), Evans (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McAtee (86')
Santos (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

The hosts may be enjoying an improved run of form in recent weeks, but Bolton's comeback win last time out would have given them a major boost heading into this one, leading us to believe the visitors will secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
37.82% (-0.27 -0.27) 26.25% (0.096 0.1) 35.93% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (-0.403 -0.4)51.25% (0.399 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (-0.353 -0.35)73.09% (0.348 0.35)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.34 -0.34)26.4% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.452 -0.45)61.55% (0.447 0.45)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)27.48% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.116 -0.12)62.98% (0.112 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.82%
    Bolton Wanderers 35.93%
    Draw 26.25%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.66% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.82%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.05% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.93%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Bolton

Rotherham United
41.4%
Draw
24.1%
Bolton Wanderers
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Rotherham
2-1
Bolton
Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bolton
0-2
Rotherham

Afolayan (64'), Williams (89'), Jones (90+5')
Wiles (18', 21')
Wood (6'), Mattock (51'), Harding (79')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
6-1
Bolton
Wiles (14'), Ladapo (27', 53'), Morris (40', 55'), Hastie (65')
Lindsay (37'), Crooks (77')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bolton
2-1
Rotherham
Ameobi (33'), O'Neil (65')
Wilson (51'), Williams (98')
Vaulks (37')
Robertson (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!