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League One | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Bolton logo

Rotherham
3 - 1
Bolton

Wilks (34' pen.), James (45+6'), Nombe (75')
Humphreys (15'), Evans (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McAtee (86')
Santos (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Rotherham United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

The hosts may be enjoying an improved run of form in recent weeks, but Bolton's comeback win last time out would have given them a major boost heading into this one, leading us to believe the visitors will secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
37.82% (-0.27 -0.27) 26.25% (0.096 0.1) 35.93% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.311 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (-0.403 -0.4)51.25% (0.399 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (-0.353 -0.35)73.09% (0.348 0.35)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (-0.34 -0.34)26.4% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (-0.452 -0.45)61.55% (0.447 0.45)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)27.48% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.116 -0.12)62.98% (0.112 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 37.82%
    Bolton Wanderers 35.93%
    Draw 26.25%
Rotherham UnitedDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.66% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.82%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.05% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 35.93%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Bolton

Rotherham United
41.4%
Draw
24.1%
Bolton Wanderers
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Rotherham
2-1
Bolton
Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bolton
0-2
Rotherham

Afolayan (64'), Williams (89'), Jones (90+5')
Wiles (18', 21')
Wood (6'), Mattock (51'), Harding (79')
Apr 25, 2020 3pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Rotherham
6-1
Bolton
Wiles (14'), Ladapo (27', 53'), Morris (40', 55'), Hastie (65')
Lindsay (37'), Crooks (77')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bolton
2-1
Rotherham
Ameobi (33'), O'Neil (65')
Wilson (51'), Williams (98')
Vaulks (37')
Robertson (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham39288371284392
2Wrexham41249859322781
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe402112765372875
4Stockport CountyStockport412111960362474
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4121101057381973
6Bolton WanderersBolton40206146257566
7Reading401811115650665
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield401971454401464
9Leyton Orient401861655401560
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Lincoln CityLincoln411412155648854
12Barnsley41159175663-754
13Stevenage401410163843-552
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham40149174650-451
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough40139186170-948
16Exeter CityExeter40139184256-1448
17Mansfield TownMansfield40138194756-947
18Northampton TownNorthampton411113174259-1746
19Wigan AthleticWigan391112163438-445
20Bristol Rovers41126234166-2542
21Burton Albion40912194159-1839
22Crawley TownCrawley4199234878-3036
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge41811224065-2535
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4078253567-3229


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