

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 38.79% ( | 25.28% ( | 35.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( | 47.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( | 69.27% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( | 23.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.84% ( | 58.16% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( | 25.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.66% ( | 60.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 |
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 |
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 |
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 |
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 |
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 |
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 |
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 |
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 |
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 |
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 |
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 |
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 |
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 |
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 |
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 |
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 |
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
