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League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Birmingham logo

Wrexham
1 - 1
Birmingham

Rathbone (9')
Rathbone (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dykes (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Wrexham and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Wrexham
Thursday, January 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 1-1 Birmingham City

Unbeaten at their home pitch in League One this season, Wrexham are unlikely to be seriously fazed by the arrival of the league leaders on Thursday night. Without key midfielders and attackers, Birmingham might need to hold on at times in North Wales, although they should be good enough for a share of the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBirmingham City
28.93% (-0.307 -0.31) 26.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 44.63% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.1% (-0.291 -0.29)53.9% (0.295 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.64% (-0.245 -0.25)75.36% (0.24900000000001 0.25)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)33.51% (0.385 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (-0.423 -0.42)70.15% (0.42700000000001 0.43)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (0.0049999999999955 0)24.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.31%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 28.93%
    Birmingham City 44.63%
    Draw 26.43%
WrexhamDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.93%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.63%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Birmingham

Wrexham
39.7%
Draw
28.6%
Birmingham City
31.7%
63
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Birmingham
3-1
Wrexham
Stansfield (22', 52'), Iwata (59')
Klarer (36'), Gardner-Hickman (54'), Bielik (81'), Anderson (82')
Bielik (86')
Marriott (3')
Cannon (81'), McClean (81'), Mullin (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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