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League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Wigan logo

Wrexham
2 - 1
Wigan

Barnett (60'), Fletcher (90+1')
Parkinson (28'), Barnett (61'), McClean (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hugill (79')
Adeeko (27'), Aimson (77'), Weir (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Wrexham and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Blackpool
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wigan
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-0 Wigan Athletic

Both sides will come into the game with confidence from their form, though it is difficult to ignore the consistency of Wrexham's results. Additionally, the Red Dragons' excellent defence may prove too strong for the Latics to breach, and this makes a win for the hosts on Sunday seem almost inevitable. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawWigan Athletic
44.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 27.43% (0.0010000000000012 0) 27.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)58.18% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)78.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)60.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.2% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)36.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.41% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)73.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 44.9%
    Wigan Athletic 27.66%
    Draw 27.43%
WrexhamDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.9%
1-1 @ 12.86%
0-0 @ 9.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 9.5%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 27.66%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Wigan

Wrexham
80.6%
Draw
12.9%
Wigan Athletic
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2023 8pm
First Round
Wrexham
1-0
Wigan
(Aggregate 0-0 | Wrexham win 4-2 on penalties)
Forde (45+4'), Palmer (68'), Barnett (75')
Smith (20'), Sze (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham40298373294495
2Wrexham422410859322782
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe422312767373081
4Stockport CountyStockport422211963372677
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4222101058382076
6Reading421912115951869
7Leyton Orient422061661431866
8Bolton WanderersBolton42206166362166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield421971654441064
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Barnsley42169176064-457
12Lincoln CityLincoln421413155749855
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham42159184853-554
14Stevenage411410173844-652
15Exeter CityExeter421410184558-1352
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough41139196272-1048
17Wigan AthleticWigan411114163539-447
18Mansfield TownMansfield41138204959-1047
19Northampton TownNorthampton421114174259-1747
20Burton Albion411012194459-1542
21Bristol Rovers42126244268-2642
22Crawley TownCrawley4299244981-3236
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge42811234066-2635
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4279263771-3430


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