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League One | Gameweek 16
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Stevenage

Birmingham
2 - 1
Stevenage

Dowell (27' pen.), Seung-ho (47')
Iwata (61'), Stansfield (64'), Cochrane (90'), Allsop (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Young (90+4')
Phillips (90')

Preview: Birmingham City vs. Stevenage - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With a title at stake in League One, Birmingham City will want to avoid complacency when they host Stevenage at St Andrew's on Tuesday.

Birmingham have 79 points and lead second-placed Wycombe Wanderers by 11 points while boasting the advantage of a game in hand, whereas 12th-placed Stevenage trail their hosts by 31 points and drew 1-1 with Mansfield Town on Saturday.


Match preview

Birmingham City manager Chris Davies celebrates after his side's match against Peterborough United, on September 28, 2024© Imago

The league leaders beat Lincoln City 1-0 on March 8 thanks to Kieran Dowell's 71st-minute penalty, though the scoreline was not a fair reflection of their dominance considering they generated four big chances while preventing Lincoln from creating any of their own.

Birmingham have now kept six clean sheets in their eight most recent fixtures, while also preventing heir opponents from scoring in 15 of their last 20 League One games.

Boss Chris Davies might be slightly concerned that his team have only scored five goals in five matches, but it is difficult to be too critical considering their tally of 56 goals in the third tier makes them the division's third-best offensive team.

The Blues come into Tuesday's clash in outstanding form, with the club emerging victorious in seven of their past nine in the league, losing just once in that time.

Birmingham are also undefeated in their last 25 at St Andrew's, winning 20 of those matches at home.

Stevenage manager Alex Revell during his side's League One match against Rotherham United, on 26 October 2024© Imago

As for Stevenage, they will feel disappointed that they did not take all three points against Mansfield Town considering they only faced 0.7 xG, and yet they conceded the only shot on target that Mansfield managed to produce inside their box.

It should be noted that the visitors have not scored more than one goal in any of their past nine games in all competitions and have only found the back of the net six times in that period.

Alex Revell's side will play Birmingham two times in their next three fixtures, and the clubs' only previous meeting saw Tuesday's hosts beat his team 1-0 on February 4 in the EFL Trophy.

Though the Boro have won two, drawn one and lost just one of their past four outings, they failed to win any of their prior five, losing four of those games.

However, Stevenage's away form is strong given they have triumphed in five of their last seven on the road – succumbing to defeat twice – and have only lost two of their last 11 away from home.

Birmingham City League One form:


Birmingham City form (all competitions):


Stevenage League One form:


Team News

Christoph Klarer of Birmingham City during his side's match against Bolton Wanderers, on March 4, 2025© Imago

Birmingham centre-back Christoph Klarer must avoid picking up a yellow card on Tuesday as otherwise he will be banned for two games, but he will almost certainly start alongside Ben Davies.

Tomoki Iwata and Seung-Ho Paik both featured in a double pivot against Lincoln City, and they can be expected to partner each other against Stevenage.

In the forward line, Jay Stansfield could be supported by attackers Taylor Gardner-Hickman, Kieran Dowell and Emil Hansson.

Meanwhile, the visitors are likely to field Dan Sweeney and Carl Piergianni in the heart of defence behind Louis Thompson and Daniel Phillips.

Winger Jamie Reid scored last time out, and perhaps Jordan Roberts will join him in wide roles either side of striker Brandon Hanlan.


Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Allsop; Bielik, Klarer, Davies, Cochrane; Iwata, Paik; Gardner-Hickman, Dowell, Hansson; Stansfield

Stevenage possible starting lineup:
Mahoney; Freeman, Sweeney, Piergianni, Butler; Thompson, Phillips; Roberts, Kemp, Reid; Hanlan


SM words green background

We say: Birmingham City 2-0 Stevenage

League-leaders Birmingham will be keen to wrap up the title as soon as possible, and they are unlikely to take Tuesday's game lightly.

Stevenage will find it difficult to break down their hosts' excellent defence considering their struggles in the final third, and it is hard to see them avoiding defeat at St Andrew's.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


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Written by
Lewis Nolan

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Game History

How you voted: Birmingham vs Stevenage

Birmingham City
88.5%
Draw
9.6%
Stevenage
1.9%
52
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Birmingham City's Jay Stansfield reacts in April 2024
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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