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League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Birmingham
1 - 0
Charlton

Stansfield (23')
Iwata (27'), Klarer (35'), Laird (70'), Dowell (73'), Stansfield (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coventry (30'), Gilbert (89'), Docherty (90+1'), Anderson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 4-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Charlton Athletic

Following the ease of victory against Cambridge earlier in the week, Birmingham should expect a harder test from in-form Charlton this weekend. The Addicks have a better chance than many of breaking Blues' League One invincibility at St Andrew's, although we feel that the visitors will fall narrowly short in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCharlton Athletic
61.01% (0.332 0.33) 21.8% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 17.18% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-0.32 -0.32)46.87% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-0.301 -0.3)69.12% (0.29899999999999 0.3)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77%43.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.547 -0.55)40.74% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.67% (-0.495 -0.5)77.32% (0.494 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 61%
    Charlton Athletic 17.18%
    Draw 21.81%
Birmingham CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 11% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 61%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 17.18%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Charlton

Birmingham City
61.1%
Draw
8.3%
Charlton Athletic
30.6%
36
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Charlton
1-0
Birmingham
Godden (54')
Ramsay (7'), Coventry (81'), Campbell (85')

Anderson (31')
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Gillesphey (6'), Berry (15')
Khela (32')
Anderson (27'), Sanderson (53')
Sanderson (78')
Jul 15, 2020 6pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Pearce (35')
Bellingham (52')
Davis (82'), Dean (90'), Alvaro (97')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Stockport CountyStockport371811853341965
5Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
6Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough36119165360-742
18Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
19Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
20Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3778223561-2629
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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