Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2025 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional3 - 1Wanderers
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 3-3 Nacional
Wednesday, April 23 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 23 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Penarol
Saturday, April 19 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 19 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
59.66% ( -0.01) | 23.16% ( 0.01) | 17.17% |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
