Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 65.01%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.