

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Emmen.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior | 
| 70.03% (  -0.55) | 18.2% (  0.29) | 11.77% (  0.26) | 
| Both teams to score 48.28% (  -0.15) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.56% (  -0.65) | 42.44% (  0.65) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.16% (  -0.65) | 64.84% (  0.65) | 
| Emmen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 89.07% (  -0.32) | 10.93% (  0.32) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.87% (  -0.71) | 35.13% (  0.71) | 
| SBV Excelsior Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 54.21% (  0.03) | 45.79% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.44% (  0.02) | 81.56% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Emmen | Draw | SBV Excelsior | 
| 2-0 @ 12.26% (  0.03) 1-0 @ 11.08% (  0.18) 2-1 @ 9.58% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 9.05% (  -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.07% (  -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.01% (  -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.91% (  -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.76% (  -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.22% (  -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.73% (  -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.53% (  -0.04) Other @ 3.84% Total : 70.03% | 1-1 @ 8.65% (  0.14) 0-0 @ 5.01% (  0.14) 2-2 @ 3.74% (  0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.2% | 0-1 @ 3.91% (  0.12) 1-2 @ 3.38% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 1.53% (  0.05) 2-3 @ 0.97% (  0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.77% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 55 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 | 
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 | 
| 13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 | 
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 | 
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 | 
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 | 
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 | 
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