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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Austin FC

Houston
2 - 0
Austin

Lingr (61'), Ponce (79')
Ponce (27'), Escobar (82'), Dorsey (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Biro (24'), Dubersarsky (72'), Svatok (76'), Cascante (84'), Rubio (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Houston Dynamo and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-2 Colorado
Sunday, April 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-0 LA Galaxy
Saturday, April 19 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-2 Austin FC

After their initial struggles in April, Austin FC have returned to winning ways, and up against second-bottom Houston, they are in line for a win, and we predict a 2-1 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
56.21% (0.169 0.17) 23.34% (0.023 0.02) 20.45% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 51.37% (-0.355 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (-0.328 -0.33)48.55% (0.329 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33% (-0.3 -0.3)70.67% (0.3 0.3)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)17.08% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.73% (-0.101 -0.1)47.27% (0.101 0.1)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)38.05% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (-0.374 -0.37)74.82% (0.375 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 56.19%
    Austin FC 20.45%
    Draw 23.33%
Houston DynamoDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.98% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20.45%

How you voted: Houston vs Austin

Houston Dynamo
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Austin FC
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 1.30am
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Austin
1-0
Houston
Driussi (87')
Cascante (31'), Gallagher (90'), Fodrey (90+5')

Dorsey (60')
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Austin

Kowalczyk (28'), Carrasquilla (37'), Artur (45+3'), Ferreira (77')
Rigoni (86')
Driussi (87'), Zardes (90+3')
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Austin
3-0
Houston
Finlay (22'), Zardes (32'), Cascante (50')
Gallagher (39'), Wolff (45'), Pereira (68'), Lima (75'), Cascante (77')

Sviatchenko (31'), Artur (45+5'), Herrera (77')
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Austin
Herrera (37'), Franco (87')
Quinones (67'), Micael (90+3')
Zardes (22')
Cascante (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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