Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.