Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, April 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
41
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Rio Ave
Still licking their wounds from their Taca de Portugal exit, Rio Ave will head into the weekend looking to find their feet and secure their safety. However, Vitoria de Guimaraes have been rock-solid at home this season and we are backing them to bounce back from their defeat against Benfica with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
53.55% ( -0.1) | 24.29% ( 0.12) | 22.16% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
