

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 50.06% (  0.48) | 26.53% (  -0.14) | 23.42% (  -0.34) | 
| Both teams to score 45.88% (  0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.3% (  0.22) | 57.7% (  -0.22) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.54% (  0.17) | 78.46% (  -0.18) | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.85% (  0.31) | 23.15% (  -0.32) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.97% (  0.46) | 57.03% (  -0.46) | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.71% (  -0.2) | 40.29% (  0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.08% (  -0.18) | 76.92% (  0.18) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 1-0 @ 13.64% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 9.98% (  0.1) 2-1 @ 9.08% (  0.04) 3-0 @ 4.87% (  0.09) 3-1 @ 4.43% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 2.01% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% (  0.05) 4-1 @ 1.62% (  0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 12.4% (  -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.33% (  -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.13% (  -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.48% (  -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.64% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.86% (  -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.71% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% (  -0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.42% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 | 
| 2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 | 
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 | 
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 | 
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 | 
| 9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 | 
| 11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 | 
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 | 
| > Full Version | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
