Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.