MX23RW : Monday, April 28 16:47:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
NEC

Heerenveen
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Nicolaescu (53' pen.)
Brouwers (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Verdonk (73'), van Crooij (76'), Proper (82'), Onal (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 2-1 Almere City
Saturday, April 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
Friday, April 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 2-1 NEC

While NEC have fared well in this contest in recent times, Heerenveen have one of the best home records in the Eredivisie, currently unbeaten in their last six games at Abe Lenstra Stadion, and we feel they will extend that record with another victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawNEC
52.29% (-0.467 -0.47) 22.3% (-0.172 -0.17) 25.41% (0.631 0.63)
Both teams to score 61.3% (1.313 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.61% (1.422 1.42)38.39% (-1.429 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.32% (1.492 1.49)60.67% (-1.499 -1.5)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (0.34400000000001 0.34)14.82% (-0.35 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.88% (0.659 0.66)43.12% (-0.666 -0.67)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (1.252 1.25)28.03% (-1.258 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (1.565 1.57)63.68% (-1.572 -1.57)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 52.29%
    NEC 25.41%
    Draw 22.29%
HeerenveenDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.448 -0.45)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.329 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.13% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.82% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.9% (0.152 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.095 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 10.08% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.166 0.17)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 6.42% (0.097 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.28% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.133 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.158 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 25.41%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Nijmegen

Heerenveen
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
NEC
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
3-0
Heerenveen
Van Crooij (3', 65'), Nuytinck (53')

Rallis (46'), Brouwers (78'), Conde (84')
Mar 10, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
2-0
Heerenveen
Ogawa (67'), Rober (68')
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
1-1
Nijmegen
Walemark (6')
Kohlert (16')
Dost (45+2')
May 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
2-3
Heerenveen
Mattsson (37'), Dimata (61')
Haye (27'), Van Hooijdonk (82'), Colassin (87')
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax31235363273674
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles3013895246647
8Heerenveen31117133953-1440
9Fortuna SittardSittard30106143449-1536
10Sparta RotterdamSparta30811113437-335
11Groningen3098133245-1335
12Heracles30811113752-1535
13NECNijmegen3096154244-233
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II3066183050-2024
17Almere CityAlmere City3148192159-3820
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719


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