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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
52.29% (![]() | 22.3% (![]() | 25.41% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.61% (![]() | 38.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.32% (![]() | 60.67% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.17% (![]() | 14.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.88% (![]() | 43.12% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.97% (![]() | 28.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.32% (![]() | 63.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.63% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 4.12% Total : 52.29% | 1-1 @ 10.08% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 6.42% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 3.61% Total : 25.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |