Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.47%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.