Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.