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Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 at 12.30am UK
 
Real Salt Lake

San Diego
1 - 3
Salt Lake

Lozano (45+5' pen.)
Bombino (56'), Lozano (73'), Alvarado (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Luna (45+1', 54' pen.), Junqua (66')
Katranis (45'), Quinton (83'), Goncalves (86'), Davis (90+3')
Davis (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between San Diego and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-0 San Diego
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, April 20 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Diego 2-0 Real Salt Lake

Having enjoyed a solid start to their debut campaign, San Diego have seen their form water down in recent weeks and will be looking to bounce back on Sunday. Varas's men take on an out-of-sorts Real Salt Lake side and we are backing them to come out on top in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
San DiegoDrawReal Salt Lake
42.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.78% (0.0020000000000024 0) 33.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)40.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.75% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (0.00099999999999056 0)19.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.14% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    San Diego 42.36%
    Real Salt Lake 33.86%
    Draw 23.78%
San DiegoDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.86%

How you voted: San Diego vs Salt Lake

San Diego
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Real Salt Lake
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2025 2.30am
Salt Lake
1-3
San Diego
Piol (17')
Ojeda (69'), Cabral (75'), Glad (78')
Negri (43'), Dreyer (90+1'), Ingvartsen (90+6')
Tverskov (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105321713418
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037617-113
15San Diego FC00000000


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