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Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 at 12.30am UK
 
Real Salt Lake

San Diego
1 - 3
Salt Lake

Lozano (45+5' pen.)
Bombino (56'), Lozano (73'), Alvarado (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Luna (45+1', 54' pen.), Junqua (66')
Katranis (45'), Quinton (83'), Goncalves (86'), Davis (90+3')
Davis (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between San Diego and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 3-0 San Diego
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, April 20 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Diego 2-0 Real Salt Lake

Having enjoyed a solid start to their debut campaign, San Diego have seen their form water down in recent weeks and will be looking to bounce back on Sunday. Varas's men take on an out-of-sorts Real Salt Lake side and we are backing them to come out on top in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
San DiegoDrawReal Salt Lake
42.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.78% (0.0020000000000024 0) 33.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)40.37% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)62.75% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
San Diego Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (0.00099999999999056 0)19.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.14% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.61% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    San Diego 42.36%
    Real Salt Lake 33.86%
    Draw 23.78%
San DiegoDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.86%

How you voted: San Diego vs Salt Lake

San Diego
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Real Salt Lake
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2025 2.30am
Salt Lake
1-3
San Diego
Piol (17')
Ojeda (69'), Cabral (75'), Glad (78')
Negri (43'), Dreyer (90+1'), Ingvartsen (90+6')
Tverskov (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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