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Major League Soccer

Nashville
Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Geodis Park
Chicago Fire

Nashville
7 - 2
Chicago Fire

Surridge (15' pen., 15' pen., 45+9' pen., 45+9' pen., 50', 50', 57', 57'), Palacios (22', 22'), Williams (25', 25', 31', 31')
FT(HT: 10-0)
Zinckernagel (64', 64'), Cuypers (71', 71')
Tah D'Avilla (42'), Tah D'Avilla (42'), Brady (45+7'), Brady (45+7'), Zinckernagel (51'), Zinckernagel (51'), Elliott (65'), Elliott (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nashville SC

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawChicago Fire
55.15% (0.337 0.34)22.21% (-0.038 -0.04)22.64% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (-0.172 -0.17)40.94% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (-0.175 -0.18)63.33% (0.173 0.17)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)14.77% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.98% (0.097000000000001 0.1)43.02% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.355 -0.36)31.68% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (-0.41 -0.41)68.09% (0.40799999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 55.15%
    Chicago Fire 22.64%
    Draw 22.2%
Nashville SCDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 55.15%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.64%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 11pm
Chicago Fire
0-3
Nashville

Navarro (57')
Muyl (54'), Surridge (87'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Gaines (60'), Shaffelburg (62'), Godoy (69')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
Nashville
1-0
Chicago Fire
Surridge (19')
Godoy (21'), Lovitz (26'), Ajago (85'), Yazbek (85'), Willis (90+1')

Omsberg (64')
> Preview
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-0
Nashville
Herbers (34')
Kamara (81')

Leal (37'), Lovitz (86')
> Preview
May 7, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
3-0
Chicago Fire
Williams (45+3' pen., 70' pen., 90+1')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 36
Chicago Fire
0-0
Nashville
Pineda (50')
Anunga (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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