Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.