

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 25.4% ( | 24.06% ( | 50.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.54% ( | 46.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.26% ( | 68.73% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( | 32.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.15% ( | 68.85% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.58% ( | 18.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.42% ( | 49.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 3-0 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.4% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0-3 @ 4.81% ( 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 2-4 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 39 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 83 |
| 2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 81 |
| 3 | Burnley | 39 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 42 | 81 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 19 | 72 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 59 |
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 39 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 57 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 57 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 52 |
| 11 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 52 |
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 52 |
| 13 | Millwall | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 51 |
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 45 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 45 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 42 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 42 |
| 20 | Hull City | 39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 41 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 40 |
| 22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 38 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 34 |
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