Alaves

0 - 2

Rayo Vallecano

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.