La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 29, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves0 - 2Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Las Palmas 2-2 Alaves
Friday, March 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, March 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, March 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
31
We said: Alaves 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
We are finding it very difficult to back either with any real confidence this weekend, especially considering Rayo's squad issues - a point each would not be the worst result for either side, and we are expecting a low-scoring draw to occur on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
35.61% ( 0.02) | 28.54% ( 0.01) | 35.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.19% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
