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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Real Sociedad logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 2
Real Sociedad

Trejo (58'), Diaz (72')
Guardiola (40'), Lejeune (74'), Espino (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zubimendi (20'), Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta (80')
Lopez (11'), Barrenetxea (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man Utd 4-1 Real Sociedad
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad
43.05%27.72% (0.061999999999998 0.06)29.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 46.96% (-0.202 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.48% (-0.239 -0.24)58.52% (0.241 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.9% (-0.186 -0.19)79.1% (0.187 0.19)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (-0.113 -0.11)26.93% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (-0.146 -0.15)62.26% (0.147 0.15)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (-0.173 -0.17)35.73% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5% (-0.181 -0.18)72.5% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 43.05%
    Real Sociedad 29.23%
    Draw 27.72%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.087 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.23%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad

Rayo Vallecano
61.3%
Draw
22.6%
Real Sociedad
16.1%
62
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2025 6.30pm
Round of 16
Real Sociedad
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Oyarzabal (24'), Ander Olasagasti (45+1'), Gomez (79')
Zubimendi (43')
Trejo (45+6' pen.)
Espino (17'), Lejeune (59'), Isi (81')
Espino (77')
Aug 18, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 1
Real Sociedad
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Zubimendi (90+8')
Gonzalez de Zarate (27'), Aramburu (90+4')
De Frutos (67'), Camello (84')
Lopez (32'), Lejeune (53'), Nteka (56'), Embarba (57')
Jan 27, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 22
Real Sociedad
0-0
Rayo Vallecano
Galan (70'), Pacheco (90+4')
Trejo (7'), Francisco (8'), Balliu (18'), Lopez (57'), Nteka (85')
Oct 29, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Real Sociedad
Mumin (31'), Bebe (90+1')
Lejeune (13'), Garcia (65'), Bebe (90+2')
Oyarzabal (41', 66')
Turrientes (72'), Zubeldia (74')
Apr 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Real Sociedad
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Sorloth (59'), Lejeune (81' og.)
Isi (57')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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