La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano2 - 2Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Real Sociedad
Rayo will certainly be the fresher of the two teams, and the capital outfit have enjoyed their recent meetings with Real Sociedad - it would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Rayo will be able to inflict more damage on a Real Sociedad outfit that are struggling for form. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 43.05% | 27.72% ( 0.06) | 29.23% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
