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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Watford | 
| 37.84% (  0.31) | 25.66% (  -0.13) | 36.5% (  -0.16) | 
| Both teams to score 55.42% (  0.47) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.34% (  0.6) | 48.65% (  -0.59) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.23% (  0.55) | 70.77% (  -0.54) | 
| Preston North End Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.82% (  0.45) | 25.18% (  -0.44) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% (  0.61) | 59.9% (  -0.61) | 
| Watford Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.07% (  0.19) | 25.92% (  -0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.08% (  0.25) | 60.92% (  -0.25) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Preston North End | Draw | Watford | 
| 1-0 @ 9% (  -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.38% (  0.05) 2-0 @ 6.21% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 3.85% (  0.07) 3-0 @ 2.85% (  0.04) 3-2 @ 2.6% (  0.06) 4-1 @ 1.33% (  0.04) 4-0 @ 0.98% (  0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.15% (  -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.53% (  -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.66% (  0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% (  0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.81% (  -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.2% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.95% (  -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.69% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.55% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 1.25% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 0.9% (  -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.5% |