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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Burnley logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Burnley


McNally (22'), Twine (90+8'), Dickie (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anthony (23')
Esteve (67'), Mejbri (69'), Trafford (70'), Pires (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Bristol City
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, November 10 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Burnley

With both teams having posted crucial wins in their own right last time out, they will be confident of building on it at Ashton Gate. However, we are backing Burnley to edge this contest, Parker knowing that his side have to change something up in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
41.23% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 28.04% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 30.73% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.69% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.83% (0.125 0.13)59.17% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.4% (0.099 0.1)79.6% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (0.10799999999999 0.11)28.23% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (0.13500000000001 0.14)63.93% (-0.133 -0.13)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.033000000000001 0.03)34.95% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.22%
    Burnley 30.73%
    Draw 28.04%
Bristol CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 41.22%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 10.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Burnley

Bristol City
25.4%
Draw
20.6%
Burnley
54.0%
63
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol City
1-2
Burnley
Conway (60')
Benson (33'), Rodriguez (62')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Burnley
2-1
Bristol City
Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')
Wells (27')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Fourth Round
Burnley
2-0
Bristol City
Vokes (45'), Defour (68')
Tarkowski (67'), Darikwa (92')
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Burnley
4-0
Bristol City
Gray (37', 45', 78'), Arfield (71')
Jones (45')

Baker (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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