

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Burnley |
| 41.23% ( | 28.04% ( | 30.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.83% ( | 59.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.4% ( | 79.6% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( | 28.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.07% ( | 63.93% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( | 34.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.31% ( | 71.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% ( 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.36% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 30.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 95 | 30 | 65 | 100 |
| P | Burnley | 46 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 69 | 16 | 53 | 100 |
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 36 | 27 | 90 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 76 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 58 | 6 | 69 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 19 | 9 | 18 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 66 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 66 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 15 | 19 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 64 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 61 |
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 58 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 57 |
| 14 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 56 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 71 | -13 | 54 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 53 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 50 |
| 20 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 10 | 20 | 16 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 50 |
| 21 | Hull City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 49 |
| R | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 49 |
| R | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 51 | 88 | -37 | 46 |
| R | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 48 | 73 | -25 | 44 |
| > Championship Full Table | |||||||||
