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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Watford logo

Plymouth
2 - 2
Watford

Gray (23', 90+6')
Mumba (1'), Gibson (54')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Issouf Bayo (9'), Porteous (41')
Porteous (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Watford

Given their contrasting home and away records, many will back Plymouth to come through this contest. However, we are backing an entertaining share of the spoils, a result that would not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
39.21% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 23.45% (0.251 0.25) 37.34% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 63.57% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (-1.289 -1.29)38.14% (1.29 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (-1.385 -1.39)60.41% (1.387 1.39)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)19.83% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09% (-0.954 -0.95)51.91% (0.95699999999999 0.96)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)20.71% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-1.052 -1.05)53.32% (1.054 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 39.21%
    Watford 37.34%
    Draw 23.45%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.286 0.29)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.248 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 37.34%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Watford

Plymouth Argyle
36.2%
Draw
21.7%
Watford
42.1%
152
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
2-0
Plymouth
Rajovic (17', 73')
Morris (41'), Dele-Bashiru (45'), Tikvic (84')

Houghton (45+1')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Plymouth
3-3
Watford
Azaz (20'), Whittaker (27'), Hardie (42')
Mumba (59'), Randell (86')
Kayembe (11'), Kone (38'), Andrews (57')
Livermore (43'), Healey (87'), Asprilla (88'), Martins (88')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Watford
0-0
Plymouth
Scarr (71'), Mumba (78')
Apr 10, 2010 3pm
Sep 15, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Watford

Timar (27'), Arnason (37'), McNamee (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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