Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2025 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Plymouth0 - 5Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 QPR
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Plymouth Argyle 0-1 Burnley
Facing a formidable Burnley backline, Plymouth are likely to struggle to pose a threat at Home Park as they seek to end a 13-game winless run in the league. The Clarets have the potential to slip up on the road in the Championship, although we feel that Parker's men should be good enough for victory on Wednesday against the division's bottom side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Burnley |
24.98% ( 0.17) | 24.78% ( -0.14) | 50.24% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
