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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
54.39% (![]() | 24.09% | 21.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.66% (![]() | 50.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.72% (![]() | 72.28% (![]() |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% (![]() | 18.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.44% | 49.56% |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.01% (![]() | 37.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.25% (![]() | 74.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.38% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.77% 1-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.28% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.57% Total : 21.52% |