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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Plymouth

Brown (14'), Placheta (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sorinola (65'), Roberts (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Cardiff
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 4-0 Plymouth
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 54.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
54.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)24.09%21.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 50.6% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)50.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.44%49.56%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.01% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)37.98% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.25% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)74.75% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 54.38%
    Plymouth Argyle 21.52%
    Draw 24.08%
Oxford UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 54.38%
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 6.99%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.28%
1-3 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Plymouth

Oxford United
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Plymouth Argyle
9.1%
55
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Oxford Utd
1-3
Plymouth
Brannagan (44')
Butcher (19'), Earley (65'), Hardie (90+3')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Plymouth
1-0
Oxford Utd
Edwards (56')
Cooper (90+4')

Brown (45+1'), Bodin (76'), Taylor (82')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Oxford Utd
1-3
Plymouth
Taylor (5')
Garrick (11'), Camara (39', 84')
Scarr (31')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
3-1
Plymouth
Edwards (29' og.), Taylor (69', 80')
Ennis (65')
Edwards (76')