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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 3
Sheff Weds

Leigh (17', 17')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Windass (28'), Lowe (50'), Gassama (61')
Gassama (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 2-0 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Blackburn
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSheffield Wednesday
33.77% (0.061 0.06)26.67% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)39.56% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.71% (0.245 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.306 0.31)53.24% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.259 0.26)74.8% (-0.25800000000001 -0.26)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (0.19200000000001 0.19)29.79% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (0.232 0.23)65.86% (-0.229 -0.23)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (0.148 0.15)26.35% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (0.201 0.2)61.5% (-0.198 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 33.77%
    Sheffield Wednesday 39.55%
    Draw 26.66%
Oxford UnitedDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 10.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.55%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Sheff Weds

Oxford United
36.8%
Draw
15.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
47.4%
38
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Oxford Utd
1-1
Sheff Weds
Brannagan (70' pen.)
Bannan (35')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
3-2
Sheff Weds
Taylor (45+1', 62'), Winnall (84')
Taylor (45+4')
Bannan (7'), Windass (60')
Hunt (14'), Bannan (80')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Sheff Weds
1-2
Oxford Utd
Paterson (73')
Paterson (61'), Palmer (85')
Brannagan (12'), Henry (90+3')
Seddon (61'), Rodriguez (80')
Aug 25, 2015 7.45pm
Round Two
Sheff Weds
1-0
Oxford Utd
Nuhiu (55')
Lees (47'), Lee (77'), Sougou (89')

Dunkley (29')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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