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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Burnley logo

Blackburn
0 - 1
Burnley


Batth (31'), Hyam (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flemming (60')
Laurent (41'), Cullen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Stoke
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Burnley

Burnley have proven to be a tough team to beat, having avoided defeat in each of their last 12 Championship matches. We think that they will continue that run by claiming a narrow victory in Saturday's derby, especially as they have won each of their last four away matches against Rovers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBurnley
33.08% (-0.675 -0.68) 27.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 39.27% (0.661 0.66)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)57.19% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95% (-0.119 -0.12)78.04% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.529 -0.53)32.24% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.603 -0.6)68.73% (0.599 0.6)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.31100000000001 0.31)28.38% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.39 0.39)64.12% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 33.07%
    Burnley 39.27%
    Draw 27.64%
Blackburn RoversDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39.27%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Burnley

Blackburn Rovers
31.0%
Draw
15.5%
Burnley
53.5%
71
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Burnley
1-1
Blackburn
Foster (10')
Mejbri (42'), Foster (77'), Pears (90+5')
Weimann (23')
Gueye (31'), Travis (34'), Brittain (49'), Carter (53'), Hedges (66'), Koleosho (67'), Egan Riley (90+6')
Gueye (57')
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Nov 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
3-0
Blackburn
Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Blackburn
0-2
Burnley

Bennett (89')
Cork (27'), Brady (45')
Bardsley (55'), Long (64')
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Blackburn
Gray (15' pen.)
Lowton (63'), Ulvestad (92')

Gomez (13'), Lenihan (52'), Bennett (91'), Watt (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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