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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Burnley logo

Blackburn
0 - 1
Burnley


Batth (31'), Hyam (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flemming (60')
Laurent (41'), Cullen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Stoke
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBurnley
33.08% (-0.675 -0.68)27.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01)39.27% (0.661 0.66)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)57.19% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95% (-0.119 -0.12)78.04% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.529 -0.53)32.24% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.603 -0.6)68.73% (0.599 0.6)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.31100000000001 0.31)28.38% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.39 0.39)64.12% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 33.07%
    Burnley 39.27%
    Draw 27.64%
Blackburn RoversDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39.27%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Burnley

Blackburn Rovers
31.0%
Draw
15.5%
Burnley
53.5%
71
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Burnley
1-1
Blackburn
Foster (10')
Mejbri (42'), Foster (77'), Pears (90+5')
Weimann (23')
Gueye (31'), Travis (34'), Brittain (49'), Carter (53'), Hedges (66'), Koleosho (67'), Egan Riley (90+6')
Gueye (57')
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Blackburn
0-1
Burnley
Benson (66')
Nov 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
3-0
Blackburn
Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Blackburn
0-2
Burnley

Bennett (89')
Cork (27'), Brady (45')
Bardsley (55'), Long (64')
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Blackburn
Gray (15' pen.)
Lowton (63'), Ulvestad (92')

Gomez (13'), Lenihan (52'), Bennett (91'), Watt (92')