Brentford logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Brentford
0 - 1
Plymouth

FT(HT: 0-0)
Whittaker (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Brentford
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 59.65%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.55% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.61%) and 3-1 (7.14%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
59.65% (0.217 0.22)19.8% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)20.55% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 63.91% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.86% (0.158 0.16)32.13% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.27% (0.185 0.19)53.72% (-0.19 -0.19)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.37% (0.101 0.1)10.63% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.54% (0.233 0.23)34.45% (-0.238 -0.24)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.51% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)28.49% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.74% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)64.26% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 59.65%
    Plymouth Argyle 20.55%
    Draw 19.8%
BrentfordDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.14% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.48% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.51% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.019 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 59.65%
1-1 @ 8.52% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 19.8%
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 20.55%

How you voted: Brentford vs Plymouth

Brentford
81.7%
Draw
11.7%
Plymouth Argyle
6.7%
60
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Nov 20, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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