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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Sunderland

Burnley
0 - 0
Sunderland


Egan Riley (84'), Anthony (90+7'), Trafford (90+7')
FT

Le Fee (87'), Ballard (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Stoke
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Burnley 1-0 Sunderland

Keeping clean sheets in each of their last four Championship games, Burnley will be supremely confident of repeating the trick on Friday night against Sunderland. The Black Cats performed admirably to beat fellow promotion rivals Sheffield United earlier this month, but we feel that the Wearside will fall short at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawSunderland
44.88% (-0.212 -0.21) 26.33% (-0.276 -0.28) 28.79% (0.484 0.48)
Both teams to score 50.75% (1.11 1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (1.293 1.29)53.54% (-1.298 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (1.082 1.08)75.05% (-1.086 -1.09)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (0.462 0.46)23.76% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.662 0.66)57.91% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (1.056 1.06)33.42% (-1.061 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (1.141 1.14)70.05% (-1.145 -1.15)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 44.88%
    Sunderland 28.79%
    Draw 26.32%
BurnleyDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.41% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.88%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.413 -0.41)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.79%

How you voted: Burnley vs Sunderland

Burnley
69.3%
Draw
22.1%
Sunderland
8.6%
163
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sunderland
1-0
Burnley
Mundle (26')
Neill (40'), Foster (54'), Rusyn (90+4')
Neill (85')

Egan Riley (9'), Hume (51'), Rodriguez (83')
Mar 31, 2023 8pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Sunderland
2-4
Burnley
Diallo (16'), Neill (20')
Tella (50'), Benson (61'), Zaroury (69'), Brownhill (87')
Aug 28, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Burnley
1-3
Sunderland
Rodriguez (11')
Grigg (35'), Flanagan (47'), Dobson (50')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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