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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
55% (![]() | 23.09% (![]() | 21.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.28% (![]() | 45.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.95% (![]() | 68.05% (![]() |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.5% (![]() | 16.5% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.78% (![]() | 46.23% (![]() |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.99% (![]() | 35.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.25% (![]() | 71.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.4% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 54.99% | 1-1 @ 10.92% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.06% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.91% |