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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Stoke logo

Coventry
3 - 2
Stoke

Torp (22', 31'), Thomas (90+7')
Grimes (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gallagher (65', 86')
Phillips (77'), Tchamadeu (90+6'), Burger (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Coventry
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Watford
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawStoke City
55% (-1.881 -1.88)23.09% (0.995 0.99)21.91% (0.894 0.89)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-2.01 -2.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.28% (-3.286 -3.29)45.73% (3.293 3.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-3.203 -3.2)68.05% (3.209 3.21)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.5% (-1.774 -1.77)16.5% (1.782 1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.78% (-3.3 -3.3)46.23% (3.308 3.31)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99% (-1.001 -1)35.01% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (-1.068 -1.07)71.75% (1.074 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 54.99%
    Stoke City 21.91%
    Draw 23.09%
Coventry CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.811 0.81)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.418 -0.42)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.312 -0.31)
4-1 @ 2.66% (-0.369 -0.37)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.273 -0.27)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.238 -0.24)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.202 -0.2)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 54.99%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.58 0.58)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.772 0.77)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.06% (0.663 0.66)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.153 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.27 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 21.91%

How you voted: Coventry vs Stoke

Coventry City
74.1%
Draw
16.7%
Stoke City
9.3%
54
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Stoke
1-0
Coventry
Baker (78')
Thompson (69'), Laurent (90+1')

Binks (3')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stoke
0-1
Coventry

Thompson (8'), Baker (45')
Simms (51')
O'Hare (86')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Coventry
0-0
Stoke
Kitching (79')
Leris (61')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Coventry
0-4
Stoke
Brown (6'), Campbell (40'), Smallbone (71'), Hoever (77')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Stoke
0-2
Coventry
Allen (51'), Hamer (65')