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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 55% ( | 23.09% ( | 21.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( | 45.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( | 68.05% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( | 16.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.78% ( | 46.23% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.99% ( | 35.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( | 71.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 3-0 @ 5.63% ( 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 5-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 54.99% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.91% |