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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 11, 2025 at 12.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
0 - 2
Caernarfon


Lloyd (28'), Newell (41'), Harrison (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Owen (43'), Davies (90')
Sears (48')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bala Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-0 Bala Town
Thursday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-5 New Saints
Thursday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
56.04% (0.144 0.14) 22.88% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 21.07% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)68.18% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.052000000000007 0.05)16.19% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33% (0.1 0.1)45.66% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (-0.104 -0.1)35.89% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33% (-0.103 -0.1)72.67% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 56.04%
    Caernarfon Town 21.07%
    Draw 22.89%
Bala TownDrawCaernarfon Town
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.63% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 56.04%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.07%

How you voted: Bala Town vs Caernarfon

Bala Town
58.3%
Draw
33.3%
Caernarfon Town
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
0-0
Bala Town
Davies (16'), Mooney (42'), Downey (81'), John Williams (86'), Williams (90')
Kargbo (81'), Robles (88')
Apr 21, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
2-2
Bala Town
Clarke (34'), Lloyd (68')
Cartwright (26')
Arsan (41'), Peate (52')
Smith (27'), Arsan (36'), Absalom (44')
Absalom (47')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Newell (40')
Arsan (57'), Roberts (76')
Davies (50')
Gosset (45+2'), Owen (71'), Bradley (90+5')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Bala Town
1-1
Caernarfon
Ukek (11')
Peate (34'), Roberts (45+1'), Smith (61'), Abadaki (79')
Davies (45+3')
Wynne (37'), Donohue (39'), Thomas (60')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Clarke (75')
Arsan (56')
Peate (41'), Harrison (68'), Shannon (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints28230578285069
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont29177550282258
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest291310636211549
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon29135114946344
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU28126104137442
6Bala TownBala Town29712103439-533
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2812794447-343
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay291251246311541
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2893163758-2130
4Briton Ferry2985164458-1429
5Newtown AFCNewtown2968153356-2326
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2952222366-4317
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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