Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
| 73.06% ( | 15.79% ( | 11.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.61% ( | 32.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.98% ( | 54.01% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.34% ( | 7.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.68% ( | 27.32% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.88% ( | 40.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.24% ( | 76.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 8.69% ( 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 4-0 @ 5.58% ( 4-1 @ 5.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 5-0 @ 2.87% ( 5-1 @ 2.62% ( 4-2 @ 2.33% ( 6-0 @ 1.23% ( 5-2 @ 1.2% ( 6-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.49% Total : 73.06% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.79% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0-1 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0-2 @ 1.28% ( 1-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.48% Total : 11.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
| 2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
